We analyze the classical asset pricing model assuming non fully rational agents. Agents forecast future prices cum dividend through an adaptive learning rule. This assumption provides an explanation of some anomalies encountered in the empirical analysis of asset prices under full rationality: Returns are serially correlated (positively over a short horizon and negatively over a longer horizon) and the dividend yield predicts future returns (positive correlation). Considering the continuous time limit process, the same regularities are established analytically for price increments.

Barucci, E., Monte, R., Reno, R. (2003). Asset price anomalies under bounded rationality.

Asset price anomalies under bounded rationality

MONTE, ROBERTO;
2003-06-01

Abstract

We analyze the classical asset pricing model assuming non fully rational agents. Agents forecast future prices cum dividend through an adaptive learning rule. This assumption provides an explanation of some anomalies encountered in the empirical analysis of asset prices under full rationality: Returns are serially correlated (positively over a short horizon and negatively over a longer horizon) and the dividend yield predicts future returns (positive correlation). Considering the continuous time limit process, the same regularities are established analytically for price increments.
giu-2003
en
asset prices
returns correlation
bounded rationality
dividends
diffusion processes
Barucci, E., Monte, R., Reno, R. (2003). Asset price anomalies under bounded rationality.
Barucci, E; Monte, R; Reno, R
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2108/68
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