Policy makers need information to describe and understand a situation involving problematic drug use, follow trends over time, design appropriate interventions and evaluate the results of the action taken. Monitoring drug use and drug problems involves complex information, based mostly on observational data and epidemiological indicators. Dynamic models can be used to generate estimates where data are sparse or to verify hypotheses or predict trends by means of "what if" scenario analyses. The simple act of building a model forces a researcher to make explicit statements about the process being studied, which usually leads to discussion and improved insight. The models that can be used effectively in the drug field are essentially models of epidemics that describe the spread of a disease in a population in order to provide evidence for public health-oriented interventions and policies. One such model proposed recently to reflect the spread of drug use in a population is described in the present article and used to demonstrate the potential of that approach.

Rossi C. (2002). The role of dynamic modelling in drug abuse epidemiology. BULLETIN ON NARCOTICS, 54(2009/02/01 00:00:00.000), 33-44.

The role of dynamic modelling in drug abuse epidemiology

ROSSI, CARLA
2002

Abstract

Policy makers need information to describe and understand a situation involving problematic drug use, follow trends over time, design appropriate interventions and evaluate the results of the action taken. Monitoring drug use and drug problems involves complex information, based mostly on observational data and epidemiological indicators. Dynamic models can be used to generate estimates where data are sparse or to verify hypotheses or predict trends by means of "what if" scenario analyses. The simple act of building a model forces a researcher to make explicit statements about the process being studied, which usually leads to discussion and improved insight. The models that can be used effectively in the drug field are essentially models of epidemics that describe the spread of a disease in a population in order to provide evidence for public health-oriented interventions and policies. One such model proposed recently to reflect the spread of drug use in a population is described in the present article and used to demonstrate the potential of that approach.
Pubblicato
Rilevanza internazionale
Articolo
Sì, ma tipo non specificato
Settore MED/01 - Statistica Medica
English
Senza Impact Factor ISI
Compartmental modelling; Drug policy; Drug use; Epidemics; Scenario analysis
Rossi C. (2002). The role of dynamic modelling in drug abuse epidemiology. BULLETIN ON NARCOTICS, 54(2009/02/01 00:00:00.000), 33-44.
Rossi, C
Articolo su rivista
File in questo prodotto:
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/2108/49647
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus ND
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? ND
social impact