We test whether minimal, non-informative messages can nudge tax compliance beyond standard deterrence. In a within-subjects lab ex periment, we randomize exposure to either a reminder that leaves audit probability unchanged or an informative warning tied to higher audit probability, and estimate e¤ects on both the probability of eva sion and the share of income evaded. A short non-informative re minder, holding incentives xed, lowers the probability of evasion by about 16 percentage points, with no detectable e¤ect on the evaded share among evaders; informative messages add at most marginal ef fects once audit probability is controlled for.
Di Bartolomeo, G., Fedeli, S., Papa, S. (2026). Nudging Tax Compliance: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment. JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL AND EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS.
Nudging Tax Compliance: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment
Stefano Papa
2026-07-28
Abstract
We test whether minimal, non-informative messages can nudge tax compliance beyond standard deterrence. In a within-subjects lab ex periment, we randomize exposure to either a reminder that leaves audit probability unchanged or an informative warning tied to higher audit probability, and estimate e¤ects on both the probability of eva sion and the share of income evaded. A short non-informative re minder, holding incentives xed, lowers the probability of evasion by about 16 percentage points, with no detectable e¤ect on the evaded share among evaders; informative messages add at most marginal ef fects once audit probability is controlled for.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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