Can machine learning of post-procedural cone-beam CT images in acute ischemic stroke improve the detection of 24-h hemorrhagic transformation? A preliminary study

Purpose Hemorrhagic transformation (HT) is an independent predictor of unfavorable outcome in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients undergoing endovascular thrombectomy (EVT). Its early identification could help tailor AIS management. We hypothesize that machine learning (ML) applied to cone-beam computed tomography (CB-CT), immediately after EVT, improves performance in 24-h HT prediction. Methods We prospectively enrolled AIS patients undergoing EVT, post-procedural CB-CT, and 24-h non-contrast CT (NCCT). Three raters independently analyzed imaging at four anatomic levels qualitatively and quantitatively selecting a region of interest (ROI) < 5 mm(2). Each ROI was labeled as "hemorrhagic" or "non-hemorrhagic" depending on 24-h NCCT. For each level of CB-CT, Mean Hounsfield Unit (HU), minimum HU, maximum HU, and signal- and contrast-to-noise ratios were calculated, and the differential HU-ROI value was compared between both hemispheres. The number of anatomic levels affected was computed for lesion volume estimation. ML with the best validation performance for 24-h HT prediction was selected. Results One hundred seventy-two ROIs from affected hemispheres of 43 patients were extracted. Ninety-two ROIs were classified as unremarkable, whereas 5 as parenchymal contrast staining, 29 as ischemia, 7 as subarachnoid hemorrhages, and 39 as HT. The Bernoulli Naive Bayes was the best ML classifier with a good performance for 24-h HT prediction (sensitivity = 1.00; specificity = 0.75; accuracy = 0.82), though precision was 0.60. Conclusion ML demonstrates high-sensitivity but low-accuracy 24-h HT prediction in AIS. The automated CB-CT imaging evaluation resizes sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy rates of visual interpretation reported in the literature so far. A standardized quantitative interpretation of CB-CT may be warranted to overcome the inter-operator variability.