Increased anthropic pressure on the coastal zones of the Mediterranean Sea caused an enrichment in nutrients, promoting microalgal proliferation. Among those organisms, some species, such as the dinofagellate Alexandrium minutum, can produce neurotoxins. Toxic blooms can cause serious impacts to human health, marine environment and economic maritime activities at coastal sites. A mathematical model predicting the presence of A. minutumin coastal waters of the NW Adriatic Sea was developed using a Random Forest (RF), which is a Machine Learning technique, trained with molecular data of A. minutumoccurrence obtained by molecular PCR assay. The model is able to correctly predict more than 80% of the instances in the test data set. Our results showed that predictive models may play a useful role in the study of Harmful Algal Blooms (HAB).

Valbi, E., Ricci, F., Capellacci, S., Casabianca, S., Scardi, M., & Penna, A. (2019). A model predicting the {PSP} toxic dinoflagellate Alexandrium minutum occurrence in the coastal waters of the {NW} Adriatic Sea. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 9(1), 4166.

A model predicting the {PSP} toxic dinoflagellate Alexandrium minutum occurrence in the coastal waters of the {NW} Adriatic Sea

Michele Scardi;
2019

Abstract

Increased anthropic pressure on the coastal zones of the Mediterranean Sea caused an enrichment in nutrients, promoting microalgal proliferation. Among those organisms, some species, such as the dinofagellate Alexandrium minutum, can produce neurotoxins. Toxic blooms can cause serious impacts to human health, marine environment and economic maritime activities at coastal sites. A mathematical model predicting the presence of A. minutumin coastal waters of the NW Adriatic Sea was developed using a Random Forest (RF), which is a Machine Learning technique, trained with molecular data of A. minutumoccurrence obtained by molecular PCR assay. The model is able to correctly predict more than 80% of the instances in the test data set. Our results showed that predictive models may play a useful role in the study of Harmful Algal Blooms (HAB).
Pubblicato
Rilevanza internazionale
Articolo
Esperti anonimi
Settore BIO/07
English
Con Impact Factor ISI
Valbi, E., Ricci, F., Capellacci, S., Casabianca, S., Scardi, M., & Penna, A. (2019). A model predicting the {PSP} toxic dinoflagellate Alexandrium minutum occurrence in the coastal waters of the {NW} Adriatic Sea. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 9(1), 4166.
Valbi, E; Ricci, F; Capellacci, S; Casabianca, S; Scardi, M; Penna, A
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/2108/303099
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