Prisoners other Dilemma

We introduce a measure for the riskiness of cooperation in the infinitely repeated discounted Prisoner's Dilemma and use it to explore how players cooperate once cooperation is an equilibrium. Riskiness of a cooperative equilibrium is based on a pairwise comparison between this equilibrium and the uniquely safe all defect equilibrium. It is a strategic concept heuristically related to Harsanyi and Selten's risk dominance. Riskiness 0 defines the same critical discount factor delta* that was derived with an axiomatic approach for equilibrium selection in Blonski et al. (Am Econ J 3:164-192, 2011). Our theory predicts that the less risky cooperation is the more forgiving can parties afford to be if a deviator needs to be punished. Further, we provide sufficient conditions for cooperation equilibria to be risk perfect, i.e. not to be risky in any subgame, and we extend the theory to asymmetric settings.